Daily Archives: October 6, 2008

“Keating Economics”

The video has been posted on YouTube:


Obama Takes Lead in Virginia

Here is SurveyUSA’s synopsis of the movement (bold italic is editorial):

There is movement among men, where immediately after the GOP convention, McCain led by 10, and where today Obama leads by 11.
There is movement among whites, where McCain’s once 22-point lead is today reduced to single digits.
There is movement among the well-to-do, where today for the first time Obama leads.
There is movement among pro-choice voters, where Obama’s lead has doubled since August.”

SurveyUSA Virginia Poll

This Man is No John Kerry

Anticipating the promised assault that was leaked to the Washington Post, the Obama campaign brings out its own firepower.

What is Happening with the Minnesota Polls

As you know there have been three major polls to come out in regards to the presidential race in Minnesota:

Many are wondering about the discrepancy between the SurveyUSA poll and the Star Tribune (and CNN to boot). Nate Silver at 538 has a theory:

In Minnesota, the Star Tribune has Obama ahead by 18, quite a contrast from SurveyUSA‘s contemporaneous poll which had McCain up by 1. Yesterday, I discussed the disparities between these two polls on the senate side, and it is not surprising that the presidential numbers have followed suit. Our model projects Obama to win Minnesota by 8-9 points, roughly in between the SurveyUSA and Star Tribune estimates.”

For completist’s sake here is also the Pollster.com average of ALL the polls: